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Eight models of data analysis: detailed PEST model
2022-06-23 23:16:00 【Coder bear】
Hello everyone , I am a little girl who loves learning xiong Xiong Mei . Today we introduce a business model for industry analysis :PEST Model .
One 、 What is? PEST
PEST It refers to the four key factors affecting the development of the industry :
- policy (Political): The government's regulatory policy on the industry
- economic (Economic): The macroeconomic situation
- social (Social): The trend of social development
- technology (Technological): New technologies are emerging
Synthesis of four factors PEST. Even if you're not a professional data analyst , I can feel it : policy 、 economic 、 social 、 Technology will affect the development of the industry . The problem is , How to put these four factors , Quantified into analyzable indicators ?
Two 、P How to quantify
First , policy (P) The impact of is the most difficult to quantify 、 Most difficult to predict , And most importantly ( Especially in our country , Do you know ) such as 2021 year ,K12 Extracurricular counseling industry , It was directly destroyed by the policy . There are millions of employees in the extracurricular counseling industry , No one can analyze it .
Therefore, the policy impact can only be judged by trend , It is difficult to quantify directly . Unless an industry has experienced periodic policy adjustment , In order to quantify , Loose policy / When tightening , What is the development trend of the industry . Similar to extracurricular counseling, which is directly ignored by the policy , There's no way to analyze , We can only find ways to collect policy information ……
3、 ... and 、E How to quantify
economic E It's easier to quantify . Because of the macroeconomic situation , It will be upstream 、 Downstream enterprises , And the new entry of the industry itself / Exit the player , Get full performance . also , This performance will certainly be reflected in their own enterprises .
such as 2021 year , Electricity is limited in many places , As a result, the plant cannot start normally , Order delivery delay . Many raw materials have gone up in price , Cause the cost of goods to rise , These are macroeconomic effects .
quantitative E When , Generally from the following three perspectives
- The operation of upstream enterprises is better / Harder to → The cost of our company is higher / A lower
- The operation of downstream enterprises is better / Harder to → As a result, our sales are better / Worse
- Compared with other industries , My industry is better / Worse → Lead to more players entering the industry / less
( Here's the picture )
Four 、S How to quantify
social S It's hard to quantify . Because there are always new trends of thought in society 、 New pop culture 、 Fresh air is still emerging , And these things are hard to specify , For example, fashion index , Hobby index is an indicator .
therefore , Want to quantify S, It is recommended to directly look at the end-user group of the industry , Through to End user requirements Understanding , To judge the possible impact of social change on the industry .
Common indicators , Include :
- Number of users : Increase or decrease
- Shopping channels preferred by users : on-line / Offline , Scale change
- Information channels preferred by users : Traditional media / The new media , Scale change
- The type of goods users like : The characteristics of popular goods
( Here's the picture )
Before analysis , Be sure to set the target users of your enterprise first , For example, it is distributed in 1、2、3 Line city 、 Age 25-45 Women between the ages . With this setting , You can find the data separately .
The number of users can be obtained from the National Bureau of statistics , User preferences , It can be obtained through market survey sampling , Or through tmall / JD.COM / Tiktok / Kwai and other platforms released platform user portrait data to get. .
5、 ... and 、T How to quantify
T It is relatively easy to quantify , because T The change of , Will reflect the new selling points of the goods / Changes in production costs . So it doesn't matter what the specific new technology is , Just ask our supply chain / Development Engineers , Can this new technology affect revenue / Cost is enough .
There may be , The new technology is still in the conceptual stage , It is not clearly expressed as a commodity function point / Improvement of production process . It's not easy to judge at this time , It is better to wait for a relatively clear commodity function point / After the production process comes out , Do the evaluation again .
6、 ... and 、PEST Comprehensive application of
Be careful :PEST As a macro factor affecting the industry , Generally, it will not change dramatically , There will be a gradual change process . For example, before the introduction of the policy , There will be news in the media . For example, changes in upstream industries , Generally, some existing enterprises have changed , Then there are industry wide changes .
therefore ,PEST Analysis of , There is no need for daily / Weekly tracking data . The indicators themselves do not change very much , Collecting data is very difficult . It's usually during the monthly resumption , Show the signs of change , At the time of quarterly resumption , If PEST Release major changes in some way , Then analyze the data separately . This can meet the needs , Without adding a lot of work .
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