Where does the storm go? Whose pot is the weather forecast wrong?

     Recently, heavy rain has occurred in many places in China , The flood disaster has brought about great economic losses to the local area . Many places have launched orange and red rainstorm warnings . Some places also issued rainstorm warnings yesterday , Primary and secondary school students are suspended , But today it has not rained . So what caused the inaccurate weather forecast ？ The reasons for the inaccurate weather forecast can be attributed to the following 3 class .

Inaccurate meteorological model , It is difficult to master the laws of meteorology

     There is a saying in the butterfly effect ： A butterfly flapping its wings over Brazil , It may cause a storm in Texas a month later . The atmosphere is chaotic and changing , Up to now, human beings have not fully mastered the law of meteorological movement , The accuracy of the meteorological model needs to be improved .

The ability of monitoring and forecasting needs to be improved

     In recent years, China has introduced its own meteorological model , The accuracy of the model has been equal to that of European meteorological models , However, the density of meteorological monitoring stations in China needs to be improved , Because the core element of accurate weather prediction by meteorological model is the sufficient amount of meteorological input data , Accurate enough .

The quality of forecasters needs to be improved

     The experience of a good forecaster , It may be close to the weather model 10 The results of the year's improvement . Although the weather forecast is very objective , But it is also of great significance to give full play to the subjective initiative of forecasters .

     Weather forecasting is a very complex project that can be completed by the cooperation of multiple departments , Finally, I hope the weather forecast in China will be more and more accurate , Say goodbye soon and forever “ Yesterday it was predicted that classes would be suspended due to rainstorm , Today's drizzle doesn't stick to my clothes ” Embarrassment .