The hardest lesson we learned from the crypto Market

A hardest lesson we learned from crypto market.

Have no choice but to

The haze of inflation , Haunt every mainstream Country in the world .

Russia Ukraine war 、 epidemic situation , And the disruption of the global supply chain … Undeniable? , Under the tide of globalization in the past two decades , No country can live happily alone . A lot of oil from Russia 、 Natural gas , Chinese industrial products with good quality and low price , Ukraine as “ Granary Europe ” The grain produced … These necessities of life that used to be readily available , Have been abruptly interrupted .

Whether it's America 、 Europe is still another developed region , The vigilance against inflation has exceeded the desire to stimulate the economy .8-10% Of inflation , Enough to put many families in a dilemma . But the supply is not enough , There is no other way. .

Before the central banks , There is probably only one way to raise interest rates , As you all know , It will bring depression . But the interest rate was raised , All kinds of assets have come down , Inflation can be contained .

Especially in the United States , The sense of smell is the most sensitive in this respect . The United States took the lead in raising interest rates , The European , And the rest of the world has to follow . It's like the last round of a Debao game , My family has raise, Even if you don't have any cards , But you have to call.

In such a doomed situation of raising interest rates , All risk assets , In one word , Namely “ Themselves they ”. And unfortunately , The currency 、 The etheric fang , At present, it is just divided into “ Risk assets ”.

Periodic theory

I am still optimistic about bitcoin for a long time 、 Ethereum and Crypto, However, the departure of funds does not transfer at the will of someone .

You believe “super cycle” Theory ？ So-called super cycle Is said ,crypto Assets every 4 You will experience the reincarnation of ox and bear once a year . The most direct support of this theory , From bitcoin halving every four years （ Change of dumping pressure ）. indeed , from 2011 So far this year , It has come into effect 3 Time .

At first, people tend to advocate foam , Because it has never been falsified . And once it develops too fast , Thunderstorms are inevitable , And another group of people who did not advocate the foam , Will try to mock （ Like right now ！）. next , Only slowly build, Time for development .

Go round and begin again , Interlocking .

It and super cycle It's very much like , But it's not exactly the same ：

→13 Bitcoin bull market in , It enlightens the public to the technology of blockchain , therefore 15 In, we had Ethereum .

→17 Year bull market , Let everyone realize the strength of smart contracts , therefore 19 We've got it in 2000 DeFi.

→21 Year bull market , Let us realize DeFi、NFT Can make so many amazing things , So we are destined to reap new seeds in the future .

And the sprouting of new seeds , Need more time .

therefore , I still firmly believe in the long-term future of bitcoin and Ethereum . Of course , In the short to medium term , They have not been able to completely break away from the traditional market and the global economy . Bitcoin is also good 、crypto Good , It is only a technology that has been born for more than ten years , Two fists can't beat four hands . therefore , It could be a very difficult time .

The most expensive course

As the saying goes ： Learn from history , We can know the rise and fall . If you want to brew the next bull market , Then it is necessary to understand that we can start from this collapse Learn something , This is also the title of this article .

I think , There is only one thing that must be learned ： Don't take a moment for granted .

Don't take a moment as forever ？

If you buy an animal as a portrait , Not only do you get a picture , And soon you'll get a dog , Then there was a mutant animal , And then get something that these animals will use token, Even get 2 Land where animals will live in the future

What is more wonderful is that , Each of them can be sold . Pinch fingers , As long as it doesn't take a year , You can earn back with interest .

Will you buy ？

I remember clearly , The night before the airdrop , My brother and I are very hesitant 、 very Fomo、 I'm very confused about whether to buy some monkeys . And wait until the real airdrop $APE During that time ,BAYC Their own prices have also risen ,$APE Also up , Sunset clouds and lone ducks fly together . That moment , The whole metauniverse is boiling .

Of course , At the moment , You and I both know , This is not permanent .

even “ Stable currency ”.

UST At the height of the moment , Namely UST Market value of more than DAI At the moment . That moment , World wide farmers Be excited about it .

at that time , Even though MakerDAO Of the executives think their products are better , But only a little sour on twitter . And this , It also attracted Luna The invective of fanatical supporters .

$UST, Tens of billions of dollars “ Stable currency ”, Unblocked in more than ten chains , stay Curve and Terraswap It has hundreds of millions of dollars of liquidity . An order of $10million or $20million , No slippage at all . And it's stronger , just so so yield A super stable 20% Annual interest rate .

For some Korean enterprises , Even if the enterprise has been working hard for a whole year , You can't make 20%, It would be better to save the money here ,safe and sound.

One of the statements I hear most is ,UST Although there seems to be some problems , But it is “ It's too big to fall ”.

however , Is it permanent ？

wait until Luna from 120 Fall to 0.00012 When , Some people are still betting that it will come back to anchor , But everything , I can't go back . Countless people have lost their money , People found this “ anchor ” It doesn't exist .

in addition ,BTC It's my heart , You can also select a machine to start fixed investment . In the last six months , It's so dynamic , Everyone has seen it , After all, liquidity is king . and , The interest rate hike will eventually come to an end , Releasing water is the eternal era .

Last , At the moment , friend , If this is your first bear market experience , Don't be too depressed . The war will pass , The epidemic will end , Inflation will subside , Releasing water is still an eternal theme . Every minute in a bear market , All are build And learning opportunities , Because this dark moment , Nor is it permanent .