Wait for the victory of the party! After mining ebb tide, graphics card prices plummeted across the board

Big data digest works

author ：Mickey

about “ One card is hard to find. ” Of “ Wait for the party ” children , Recently, I finally hope to buy my own Xinyi graphics card .

Since the beginning of this year , The heat has been rising for two years GPU The price finally showed a downward trend , This trend is more obvious this quarter . According to relevant data , This year, 5 month , The price of graphics card has dropped 15%. not a few GPU The prices of all have fallen below the recommended retail price , Even a lot of cards that could not be bought by doubling the price in the past are finally available .

The main reason can be attributed to the falling price of virtual currency , And the regulatory authorities of various countries began to standardize the management of virtual currency mining projects , Make mining less attractive , The demand for graphics cards for mining naturally continues to decline . The normal pricing of the graphics card , It can finally give ordinary players a chance to get addicted .

RTX3080 Fried by scalpers , The video card craze has lasted for nearly two years

2020 The year of may be called the hot year of graphics card , Among them, NVIDIA's RTX3080 Is the most prominent .

2020 year 9 month , Nvidia released it new GeForce RTX 30 series GPU, Performance compared to previous generation GPU Double , Power efficiency is also of the previous generation 1.9 times , NVIDIA calls it the largest chip leap in history .

But what NVIDIA didn't expect , Due to high cost performance and limited sales volume , This video card has become the most difficult to buy in history GPU One of . Due to NVIDIA's RTX3080 The selling price of is higher than 2080Ti The price of is cheaper 40% many , And its function is much higher than the retail price RTX 2080 Super More powerful ; Public Edition RTX 3080 The price is 699 dollar , Domestic price 5499 Yuan Qi , and 2080Ti The price at the time of initial listing was as high as 1199 dollar .

This also makes the global enthusiasts sharpen their fists , Waiting for the chip to go on sale , Just for the first time to use this new graphics card to play games and run data . before , According to American media , Someone is here. Micro Center Exposed camp for two days , Just to make sure you can buy RTX3080, This posture , It's no better than that iPhone The popularity of the new machine is low .

According to the market law of electronic products , Before new product launch , Businesses will cut prices to clear inventory , Reduce inventory pressure and exchange cash flow . But in the last two years , The price of graphics card will rise immediately after its launch , Old card prices rise instead of fall .

At that time in China GeForce RTX3080 The price of is 5499 Yuan Qi , But on many forums , Consumers have complained in succession , JD's online mall 17 No 500 The spot sales volume of Zhang , And in a few seconds it was looted .

Mining occupation GPU Total supply 10%, Ordinary players look “ card ” Beyond reach Want to say GPU The largest consumer of , Non virtual currency “ The miners ” Perhaps judge of particulars, .

According to relevant data , In the past year and a half , Ethereum miners are GPU It's going to cost 150 Billion dollars , If you put CPU、PSU And chassis and other components are also included in the calculation , This number will be higher .

Bloomberg reports ,Bitpro Consulting Analysts pointed out that , In the cryptocurrency foam of the past two years , Ethereum miners consumed about 10% Of GPU Total supply .

The explosive growth of the mining industry and the ensuing GPU Hoarding matches the needs of gamers , This has contributed to a sharp rise in prices .2021 year GPU The average cost of the project is 1,056 dollar , and 2019 The annual price is only one third of this price . according to JPR The data of ,2021 In the year GPU Our sales are about 518 Billion dollars .

A large number of graphics cards were bought by scalpers and sold at a higher price , This makes it almost impossible for ordinary consumers to buy the cards they want , It also gave birth to a large number of “ Wait for the party ”.

“ Wait for the party ” Our waiting is not in vain , After nearly two years of short supply , The graphics craze finally began to fall .

Jon Peddie Research According to the latest report , The first quarter of this year GPU Shipments fell compared with the fourth quarter of last year 6.2%, Total shipments 9600 Ten thousand pieces —— Integration is also included GPU（ Such as Intel Integrated in core processor Xe To show ）.5 month eBay Mainstream graphics cards of the season （GeForce RTX 30 Series with the Radeon RX 6000 series ） Sales of 9000 individual , Comparison 4 It's down in the month 16%. among AMD The sales volume of graphics cards is even higher 28% The decline of .GPU The market demand is in a steady decline channel . from tom's Hardware about GPU Market price tracking ,GPU Prices have averaged for several consecutive quarters 10% The rate of decline .

5 Since the month , Cryptocurrency prices plummeted , The price of graphics card plummeted

Graphics card fever and mining are inseparable , Of course, the decline of its heat is closely related to the recent decline of mining tide . Because in the past week , The value of bitcoin has fallen dramatically 30%, And Ethereum （ And Nvidia RTX 30 Card compatible ） down 40% above . At the current price , because ETH The continued decline in prices ,RTX 3080 The profitability of cryptocurrency mining has fallen off a cliff in recent days . After calculating the power cost , Miners earn only about per day 0.85 dollar .

let me put it another way , To make ends meet and pay GPU Its own cost , The miners need to dig about 1.5 year , This is still an assumption ETH The value of remains unchanged , At present, it seems that this deal is very uneconomical .

meanwhile , A change in the structure of TaiFang （ go by the name of “ Merge ” Structural transformation of ）—— It will completely end the mining era of Ethereum , Simply speaking ,“ Merge ” After completion , The Ethereum revenue that miners can obtain will be matched with the pledged ETH Take up the whole network ETH The proportion of pledge is related to , Instead of buying hardware such as mining machines . This means Ethereum POW Mining will soon withdraw from the stage of history , Also give ongoing POW The miners in the mine have brought some pressure . therefore , This Ethereum merger , It will bring fundamental changes to the whole mining industry .

At the moment , It coincides with the imminent merger of Ethereum , As the demand for mine cards declines , The supply of ordinary users will naturally increase . Many used cards may also re-enter the market .

The price of graphics card has also dropped . A large number of graphics cards are selling for less than the recommended retail price , A lot of hot money is finally in stock .

Overseas ,Tom's Hardware Reports said ,Nvidia Popular RTX 3080 GPU Now in eBay The price on the is less than 650 dollar . Just a few months ago , The same circuit board sells for more than 1,000 dollar . Elsewhere , The site also notes that some lists are 2,500 Six of them are sold for us dollars RTX 3080, That is, each set is about 418 dollar .

Mining on idle fish is often used AMD RX580 and RX5700xt Take a graphics card as an example , Last year's second-hand price was about 3000 element 、6000 element , This year prices have been falling , Until the former falls to 1000 element 、 The latter fell to 3200 yuan .

This is not the first time that the price of a graphics card has plummeted . As early as 2018 year ,GPU There was a large oversupply in the production line, which led to a wave of decline in the price of graphics cards , At that time AMD Polaris GPU, for example RX 570 and RX 580, From popular mining GPU Suddenly became a video card that can be used to listen to songs . Not only do retail prices threaten sales —— As people give up cryptocurrency mining , second-hand GPU Will begin to flood the market .

The same is true today , For graphics card manufacturers , This may be bad news , There are even reports that major manufacturers are delaying the launch of new cards , But for the average consumer who wants to upgrade to a new graphics card , That's good news, of course ！ According to current trends , Almost all graphics cards will soon appear on the market and second-hand trading platforms at a price lower than the retail price .

Relevant reports ：

https://www.techradar.com/in/news/ethereum-miners-spent-dollar15-billion-on-gpus-in-just-over-one-year

https://www.digitaltrends.com/computing/gpu-prices-are-falling-below-msrp-due-to-the-crypto-crash/?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=pe&utm_campaign=pd

https://www.tomshardware.com/news/graphics-card-prices-update-june-15

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-16/ethereum-mining-tweak-renders-some-crypto-tech-worthless#xj4y7vzkg

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