Exness: the progress of Russia Ukraine negotiations is limited, and the RBA's decision remains unchanged

Market Review ：

The dollar rose and fell on Monday , The increase is limited , Closing up 0.21%. U.S. Treasury yields fell , The geopolitical war crisis continues to boost the demand for risk aversion . The US stock market bottomed out overnight , It has temporarily suppressed the recent decline . The United States 2 May Chicago PMI Previous value 65.2 Down to 56.3, The decline was larger than expected , Weak data put pressure on the dollar .

Atlanta Fed chairman Bostick said , Support in 3 Raise interest rates at the meeting in January 25 BPS , But if inflation continues to rise , Will consider raising interest rates 50 BPS .

The first round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine is over . In an interview, the source voskresensky believed that , The fact that the two sides can sit down and negotiate is already a result , Both sides heard each other's position during the talks . Although the result of the first negotiation is not optimistic , But fortunately, the negotiation process continues .

Russia said , Russian President Vladimir Putin believes that the following conditions must be met to solve the problem , Both recognize Russia's sovereignty over Crimea , Demilitarization of Ukraine , De Nazism , Maintain Ukraine's neutral position .

The office of the president of Ukraine responded , Demand that all Russian troops withdraw from Ukrainian territory , Including Crimea and Donbas .

The RBA announced its benchmark interest rate decision in the morning , maintain 0.1% unchanged , In line with market expectations . The committee said , Be prepared to wait patiently .

1 Hour chart , AUDUSD rebounded to 0.7265 Fall back in case of resistance ,0.7270-0.7280 The supply zone resonates with the harmonic form to form a resistance level . Short term or fall back test again 0.7190-0.7200 Support position .

Daily charts , The Australian dollar / The dollar remained stable after breaking the downward trend line . Overnight, first suppress, then raise, and test the shadow 0.7160 The support is effective , At the same time, we completed the pregnancy break on last Friday , In the future market, the Bulls continued to rebound , Resistance concerns 0.7315/0.7320 near .

The RBA stood still

The RBA announced on Tuesday that it would maintain its benchmark interest rate 0.1% unchanged , Reiterate that real inflation should be kept under control 2-3% Before... Within the target range , Will not raise cash interest rates , The committee is prepared to wait patiently .

The RBA is committed to maintaining a highly supportive monetary environment , And think that the inflation growth rate is expected to be fast . And because of the Ukrainian Russian war , The prices of many commodities will rise further ,

Important data

​ today , The United States will announce 2 month ISM and Markit Purchasing Managers Index of manufacturing industry , The market forecast data will rise to 58 and 57.5.​