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Z-Wave ecosystem status report in 2022

2022-06-10 13:20:00 Smartlabs

Introduce

The reason why smart devices can attract people's imagination , Because they are cool : They provide convenience 、 Fun and innovation . Intelligent residence 、 Both smart buildings and smart cities are worth investing in , Because they're not just cool . They can reduce the risk 、 Prevent damage 、 Manage resources and forecast maintenance requirements .《2022 year Z-Wave Ecosystem status report 》 It depicts Z-Wave How the agreement addresses serious challenges , as well as Z-Wave The maturity of 、 How reliability and interoperability turn device owners into smart system enthusiasts .

  

In terms of housing , Typical z Bo homeowners are wealthy millennial homeowners with one or more children . This group is looking for comprehensive solutions , Reassure them , And remind them of any problems that may put their homes or families at risk , From burglary to leakage . Although all consumers are very curious about smart technology , So I will try one or two devices , but Z-Wave Users are more likely to be added to existing systems , And expressed a stronger will , Hope to do so in the future . This shows that Z-Wave Users see more practical value from the smart home system than users using different communication protocols , And hope to extend these advantages to other aspects of the family . In short ,Z-Wave Fulfilled the promise of smart home .

It was not a pleasant accident .Z-Wave Is designed to achieve interoperability , In all generations Z-Wave There is full backward and forward compatibility between devices . It also provides reliability 、 Range 、 Power waste 、 Advantages in equipment compatibility and future preparation , Make it the choice and recommendation of professional safety and control system integrators .

stay Z-Wave Of Sub-GHz It is more and more attractive to build and develop intelligent ecosystem based on wireless transmission range

Service providers can safely install Z-Wave System , Because they know , They can continue to add devices throughout the life cycle of the home , And expand the function of the system , Instead of replacing old equipment that is available . Besides , With Wi-Fi Band devices 、 Work 、 More and more network traffic for learning and playing at home , stay Z-Wave Of Sub-GHz It is more and more attractive to build and develop intelligent ecosystem based on wireless transmission range .

As new devices and use cases mature , Smart home should be able to grow . It's crucial , The owner of the system should be able to easily add devices , Even if they were not involved in the initial system planning , Design , or installation-because At this time, curve is adopted in smart home , A significant proportion of smart device owners inherit their systems by purchasing an attribute to integrate with existing systems .Z-Wave Allow this flexible growth —— It allows new devices to work together , And integrate the new use cases into the existing system for overall management .

As new equipment and applications mature , Smart home should be able to grow . It's crucial , The owner of the system should be able to easily add devices , Even if they were not involved in the initial system planning 、 Design or install .Z-Wave Allow this flexible growth —— It allows new devices to work together , And integrate the new equipment into the existing system for overall management .

Z-Wave Its advantages make it a reliable choice for integration professionals , It also makes it a key to make intelligent ecosystems including commercial buildings 、MDU Key technologies of complex and city . In this year's ecosystem report , About Z-Wave How to improve the hotel 、 Apartment park 、 Even comprehensive reports on the management and efficiency of intelligent communities . As smart devices are used to meet growing challenges ,Z-Wave The ecosystem will grow steadily .

Method                                                                                                            

Z-Wave Alliance with Interpret cooperation , stay 2021 year 10 Month to 11 Of the month 8 A survey was conducted over a period of weeks . The goal is to quantify the current Z-Wave And other smart home devices 、 Adoption rate 、 Growth rate and purchase intention . The purpose of the survey is to determine consumer perceptions and consumer impacts that affect purchasing behavior , And explore consumers' concerns about adding extra Z-Wave Interest in devices , Or whether there are barriers to the adoption of these devices .

To qualify for investigation , The homeowner must have one or more smart devices in the specified list ,Z-Wave The owner must self-report having Z-Wave Equipment or having Z-Wave Functional safety system . The sample size of this study is 1501 name 18-65 Year old American resident , The total sample error is ±2.53.

Important findings

Find out 1

Z-Wave Users are enthusiasts of smart home , The ownership rate of intelligent products is higher than that of non Z-Wave user , And is the main goal of purchasing additional equipment

 

Find out 2

Low awareness of the communication methods used by smart products is not Z-Wave Unique to the user . the height is 30% The device owners of don't know what embedded technology their devices use ; This is Z-Wave The expansion of provides a mature opportunity .

 

Find out 3

Buying Z-Wave Product time , The most influential features include reliable connections 、 Simple setup and data privacy and security .

 

Find out 4

DIY, Or self installation , It has become the main installation method for many products : front 18 Famous smart home products include 8 Yes DIY install .

 

Find out 5

Owners of intelligent security and home control systems show strong interest in additional devices .97% The control system owner and 90% The owner of the intelligent security system has added equipment . As an old chip leader ,Z-Wave Have 90% Market penetration of , In terms of equipment expansion , Its market CAGR( Compound annual growth rate ) Keep growing .

Z-Wave Owner statistics

Z-Wave Users are more likely to live alone than ordinary smart home device users . They are richer , More likely to have children at home , stay 30-44 The age group of years old is more concentrated .

Smart home device owners

And non Z-Wave User comparison ,Z-Wave Users have a higher degree of adoption of all smart home devices . Compared with other devices , Intelligent door lock 、 The utilization rate of intelligent home control system and intelligent drinking water equipment is particularly high . Be careful , The owners of all intelligent security systems are included in Z-Wave Among the owners , So there is no right or wrong Z-Wave Owner comparison .

Smart home device owners

Z-Wave Users' adoption of smart home devices on the second floor is also continuing , According to different equipment , from 2X To 9X Unequal .Z-Wave Users are obviously loyal users of smart home devices , These devices may be installed on the same safety or control system , It may not be installed .

  Smart sensor device owners

Not Z-Wave The user said , Their use of various sensors is relatively low , Many of these sensors usually use low-power communication methods that require a control center . Smart remote control , Usually used in intelligent security systems 、 Intelligent lighting 、 Smart shutter or smart fan , In addition to safety related sensors , Also received Z-Wave Welcome from the owner .

Before you have 5 Big Z-Wave equipment

Summarize from the data collected ,Z-Wave It is the most recognized among the owners 、 The most popular intelligent security and smart home control system , And multi-sensor and specific case-use Sensors include ground sensors 、 Contact sensor 、 Glass breaking sensor and motion sensor , The water valve is closed 、 Leak detector 、 And smart door locks .Z-Wave Safety and safety equipment are the most recognized , exceed 40% Of intelligent water shutoff valve users and one third of intelligent leak detector users Z-Wave equipment .

Among the smart home device owners surveyed ,Z-Wave The top five devices owned include :

   Intelligent water valve

​​​​​​   Intelligent security system

   Intelligent home control system (Hub)

   Chair or bed pressure sensor

  Overflow sensor and / Or leakage detector

Network protocol performance characteristics

Z-Wave He Fei Z-Wave Users attach great importance to data security 、 Connectivity and signal range , Almost no change . In these two categories , Only a third of people value their devices very much in working with many other devices . These priorities may be affected by common concerns and business problems experienced .2+ The owner of the device ( majority ) Interoperability is not usually considered more broadly , Because they just want the devices to work together .

Network protocol performance characteristics

Yes Z-Wave The functions that users have influence on include the scope / connectivity 、 Easy to set up / Use and data security / privacy . Other protocols are more suitable for cooperation with smart phones or smart speakers , And connect existing products .22% Of Z-Wave The user did not make a conscious choice , And it has not been Z-Wave The impact of function , This proportion is higher than other agreements .

Attitude towards family control :HUB

Z-Wave Users are usually more confident about their home control knowledge and the value of the control system , Although they also believe that smart speakers are a kind of home control system . Only one third of the non - Z-Wave The owner of HUB Demand is not interested ,59% Of the respondents were right HUB Demand is not interested .

DIY And professional installation

DIY, Or self installation , It has become the main installation method of various products , Usually retail or buy directly from the manufacturer . Equipment that is more likely to be preinstalled are those that are attached to the control system or that require more involvement in installation . More and more equipment “ Come with your family ”, Including intelligent sprinkler controller 、 Intelligent garage door opener and intelligent thermostat , They were either left by their former owners , Or it was installed by construction workers .

Installation method

  

It is installed at home

  

A company that sells products and related services

  

A contractor or installation service employed separately from the purchase of equipment

  

DIY, A family member , Or friends

Add more equipment after installation

In the professionally installed intelligent security and intelligent home control system , Nearly two thirds of the installers installed more equipment .22-27% Of people have added self installing equipment to the home control system , Slightly more than the owner of the security system . Almost all owners have added something in some way , Even though 10% The owner of the security system did not do so .

The equipment has been installed professionally

Top 10 added to security and home control systems DIY equipment

Generally speaking , The owner of the home control system adds devices at a higher level than the owner of the intelligent security system . Before the increase of users of home control system 10 Of the devices , Only 4 The number of users of devices has increased 23% Or more .

Easy to install Z-Wave equipment

Even though Z-Wave The sample base of the self installer is very small , But they found that the installation Z-Wave The device is better than installing Bluetooth or Zigbee Much simpler . Most people think that Z-Wave Installation and Apple HomeKit(65%) and Wi-Fi(53%) It's as simple as .

Upgrade intention

Z-Wave What users are most interested in 5 Seed equipment , Their intelligent security or home control systems

Z-Wave Users have the same intention to add devices to the security system or home control system .

Interested in joining more Z-Wave equipment

In addition to the top five devices ,Z-Wave Users also show strong interest in various devices and sensors . Generally speaking , Owners of home control systems are slightly more interested in buying .

Purchase intention ranks top 5 The equipment

Purchase intention of all respondents , Whether or not you join the system ,Z-Wave Users and non users Z-Wave Users' purchase intentions are similar .Z-Wave The owner's interest in intelligent security systems is unique , This may indicate that the non security system owner has the intention to upgrade or purchase the security system for the first time .Z-Wave Owners are more willing to buy than others .

Purchase motivation

When declared as a personal preference , These consumers are more consistent than individual use cases . Making routines easier is a convenient extension of use cases . Similarly , Peace of mind at home is safe 、 Security 、 An extension of the maintenance or health use case . Pure technical interest is still a powerful motivator . For more than half of the respondents , Interest in novelty or fun when using the product is important .

Purchase motivation

The first three use cases are all security related , Intrusion prevention is almost as important as monitoring outdoor activities . Comfort and convenience create a second level of buying motivation ; Interestingly , Not Z-Wave User comparison Z-Wave Users are more interested in convenience . Saving time is a convenient addition , But more broadly , It includes cost and resource savings .

The future of smart home

Sub-GHz frequency It is still a key aspect of smart home technology , Is also used Sub-GHz The future of our devices and solutions .

Since the early days of home automation , The proliferation of private and standards based solutions has provided consumers with 2.4GHz and Sub-GHz Various choices of layers . However , Only Sub-GHz To provide a longer range 、 Longer battery life 、 Basic advantages such as better reliability and less congestion .

The future of smart home

Austin, a silicon lab in Texas, published a white paper , Detailed Sub-GHz This particular advantage of . The company noted that , stay 2.4GHz In the , There are three main reasons for better performance :

1. When radio waves pass through walls and other obstacles , The signal will weaken . The decay rate increases at higher frequencies , therefore 2.4GHz Signal ratio sub-GHz The signal decays faster .

2. 2.4GHz When radio waves are reflected on a high-density surface , Is better than sub-GHz Radio waves decay faster . In a highly congested environment ,2.4GHz The transmission of will weaken rapidly , Thus affecting the signal quality .

3. Although radio waves travel in a straight line , But when they hit the edge of a solid , It does bend . As the frequency decreases , The diffraction angle increases , send sub-GHz The signal bends further around the obstacle , Thus, the blocking effect is reduced .

besides ,sub-GHz Band is a faster 、 More reliable 、 More economical device communication solutions , It will continue to benefit smart home technology consumers in the coming decades .

Z-Wave Why is it important

since Z-Wave Since the birth of , Interoperability has always been Z-Wave One of the core principles of the agreement ,Z-Wave The alliance has been supporting this goal , in the past 20 In the year , It has built an ecosystem of thousands of certified devices from hundreds of manufacturers . Proposed by the connectivity standards alliance Matter The initiative echoes this mission , It aims at unifying equipment communication , Make all smart home devices work better in a variety of wireless technologies and smart home ecosystems .

To achieve industry wide interoperability Matter promise , Must include hundreds of millions of existing equipment 、 Installations and large ecosystems , And continue to play its role and develop ; Ignoring this fact will only alienate 、 defeat , And may reject the customer . The promise of this interoperability is only if it includes millions of Z-Wave And other devices . We may see that demand is driven by Matter Driven , But interoperability , And forward and backward compatibility has always been Z-Wave The mission of , It is also our own 1999 Part of the vision since its inception in .

 Z-Wave Why is it important

Matter The interoperability task for the benefits of Z-Wave Large scale deployment 、 Mature equipment ecosystem 、 Technical advantages and functions .Z-Wave Benefit from the Matter The driving force and forward movement for interoperability . It's a win-win situation .

What matters is cross system technology , There are no deployed artifacts , Smart home will not succeed .Z-Wave The League believes that Matter Good for the market , We will have something exciting to add this year Z-Wave, Including a new generation of chips 、 Hardware security as well as bridging and software building blocks . For the smart home to continue to flourish , The industry needs a strong product ecosystem and protocols , Be able to work in parallel in residential or commercial buildings .

The global Z-Wave The ecological system

Z-Wave Hundreds of millions of devices have been installed in the world , It is a known international standard for wireless communication in smart homes and buildings .Z-Wave The alliance maintains a good balance among its global members , America 、 The European 、 In the Middle East 、 Africa and the Asia Pacific region have large 、 Active groups and active members .

With Z-Wave The continuous adoption of the agreement on a global scale ,Z-Wave Continue to gain momentum of development internationally . Despite the positive growth trend , But challenges remain , Because the EU market is still very fragmented . Besides , In ensuring that partners 、 Installer 、 Customers and end users understand Z-Wave The value the device brings and the impact the technology solution may have on local consumers in each market , Enterprises must always be vigilant and creative . image Flex Automation( Brazil ) In this way Z-Wave International members are building MDU Incredible success in the market , Scalable technology packages for builder partners . On the other hand ,Z-Wave Our solutions are also favored by historical buildings , Because it provides an unobtrusive choice for homeowners and businesses .

The global Z-Wave The ecological system

The European Union and the United States are still the countries with the largest product catalogs , The vast majority of its members rely on distributors 、 Installers and retailers serve as sales channels for their products . As z Part of the wave ecosystem , The key to the success of any company is a deep understanding of their overall environment .

Z-Wave The internal data of alliance members provide key information , Let's understand that in the near future 4000 In a library of certified products , Which products sell best , Which devices have the largest number . Lighting solutions are the highest selling category and the highest number of certified devices , Then there are switches and sensors .

It can be inferred from these data that ,Z-Wave The solution can make the end user experience more convenient 、 Easier to control . Because members are all over the world , The company is located in every corner of the world , New and exciting solutions from members designed to meet the same needs will be available in 2022 Good performance in and after .

Opportunities beyond smart home

In the last few years , Building management and other stakeholders are beginning to recognize the use of technology to simplify operations 、 Opportunities to save costs and create a better end-user experience , Intelligent technology has become the main topic of discussion . in fact , A recent report found that ,“ In the forecast period (2020-2025 year ), The compound annual growth rate of the intelligent building market is expected to exceed 23%.” Growing energy concerns and more and more government intelligent infrastructure projects are actively driving market growth .”

Multiple residential units (mdu)

The rental market continues to grow :2020 Beginning of the year , The national Apartment Association predicts , The United States needs to add... On average every year 328,000 Multi family residential units , To keep up with the growing demand for leasing . Smart home technology is a multi residential unit (MDU) A growing trend in the community , To support the operation of a stronger building management and facility management team , And attract potential tenants . By adding smart centers and equipment to apartments and condominiums , Such as smart lock 、 lighting 、 Thermostat, etc , Facility managers can easily monitor energy expenditures 、 Allow viewing 、 Control cost, etc .

  The hotel

When the Chris hotel in southern Italy (hotel Kiris) Of hotel managers began to notice that energy consumption had a significant impact on their profitability and bottom line , They will RFID Badges with wall pockets and Automation Z-Wave The system is combined , In this way, the owner of the hotel can monitor the power consumption of each room , And open if necessary / Turn off the power supply of a single room .

Opportunities beyond smart home

  Elderly care

In the next few years , Smart home will usher in a particularly important development trend . With the aging of population , There are more tech savvy children and older parents than ever before . Technology based solutions provide caregivers with access , Easy to control temperature , Alarms and equipment warnings , Of course, there is safety and security .

Smart appliances

With OEM Use network connection to provide users with a wide range of intelligent functions , Category of smart appliances is growing , Including the monitoring 、 Remote control and maintenance , In order to improve purchase interest and product satisfaction .

health

Smart home technology can be used to enhance overall well-being . Intelligent lighting has become a new focus of human centered lighting and natural circadian rhythm . Lighting affects overall mood and health , Emotional and mental health , And energy and sleep cycles . As consumers continue to change the way they work and play , Intelligent lighting will contribute to health by providing the best brightness and color temperature . People all over the world will benefit from lighting , It will depend on the time of day 、 Time of the year 、 Geographical location and personal choice to adapt and change . Technology is getting smarter , More and more sexy .

12000 A house .20 Vision for . A smart city .

As a model of smart city , This 200 The million square foot project is a sustainable development project , Start with infrastructure , Including every home and business connection .

Stirling ranch is a large-scale urban development project in the northwest of Douglas County, Denver, Colorado . In the overall construction , The project will include 1.2 Million single family and multi family residences , exceed 200 Million square feet of commercial development ,37% Of the land is used for open space . Stirling farm is a modern model of smart city .

This is a sustainable development , Start with infrastructure , But it includes every home and business connection . Siemens USA (Siemens USA) Is the global leader in intelligent infrastructure , It's also Sterling Ranch Our technology partners , Focus on identifying and evaluating technologies from leading organizations , Help people improve their daily lives .

There are more devices connected to the Internet than there are people in the world : The number of devices connected every day has reached an amazing 100 Billion . According to the report , To 2021 end of the year , There will be global 358.2 Billion parts loT Equipment installation , To 2025 There will be 754.4 Billion parts . Architecture is timeless , It requires a scalable optical network and the interoperability of home devices before and after connection , Do not abandon legacy equipment but remember a continuous life cycle , For the emergence of new technologies , Leave the room . Sterling ranch has been carefully designed with Z-Wave Technology is at the heart of every family in the community , Thanks for Siemens' originality .

Z-Wave Apply case study

How Siemens will Z-Wave To Stirling ranch

“Z-Wave Is a natural solution , Because we want to design a home automation system , Can be replicated throughout the community , And provide DIY And professional services and support options . The development project was built in stages , Homeowners can choose to work with 9 Cooperate with different builders , They all provide different designs and plans . We are currently in the third phase of the technical package , Although each iteration is slightly different , But whoever built it , Owners still have a consistent experience .”Christopher Stovall say .

For a long time , Some builders have been boasting that they use smart door locks or doorbell cameras as “ Smart home suite ” Part of , But Stirling ranch's commitment to innovation goes much deeper .

From the design of the optical fiber network of the whole city to the design of specialized and Sterling Ranch Co developed customization STEWARD platform , Siemens is involved in all aspects of the planning of this technological progress project .STEWARD Is an exclusive home automation and security system platform , For communication and control Wi-Fi and Z-Wave Certified equipment . With Siemens custom designed STEWARD platform ,Sterling Ranch Far beyond the foundation of standard smart home , Connect and manage all devices in one interface . When Siemens' technical team considers how to design a system , It can be easily handed over to the homeowner , adopt DIY Or professional services and support options ,Z-Wave Ecosystems provide a solution , It meets all their needs .

Z-Wave Apply case study

STEWARD Is a collection of home automation 、 An application that integrates home safety and utility monitoring , For Stirling ranch only .STEWARD Through a seamless user interface , Connect the owner with the family safety system 、 Smart home control and real-time utility usage information are connected . Besides ,STEWARD It also supports various devices , Including door and window sensors 、 Lighting control 、 Door lock 、 Garage door control 、 Intelligent thermostat 、 Smoke detector 、 Intelligent irrigation control 、 Audio and video systems, etc .STEWARD Provide home voice control and easy-to-use mobile applications , Provide simplicity and convenience for every family member .

Every house in Stirling ranch is equipped with STEWARD Plus a set of Z-Wave Certified equipment , Including control hub 、 Security system 、 Intelligent light switch 、 Intelligent thermostat 、 Water sensor and closing valve 、 Intelligent sprinkler control and intelligent door lock . Homeowners can choose to further customize themselves by adding optional upgrades including smart shading , Garage door opener , Home entertainment system 、 Electric vehicle charger 、 Solar panels , Through Lumiere , Local integration companies , Provide a range of additional products , Help the owner with the most intelligent home system .

 “ Siemens is responsible for commissioning of the technical package , In terms of check-in time , Our handover system Lumiere's white glove service walks homeowners through the various features of the home —— They tell them the basics of how to connect to the Internet to monitor their energy and how to access the system when leaving home ,” Stoval said .

The developers of Stirling farm want to ensure that residents can not only connect to all aspects of smart home or optical fiber Internet , And they can be connected to each other . In order to enable the residents to connect with each other , Siemens designed STEWARD platform , Include a community section , Connect residents with ongoing community news 、 Announcements are linked to events , For example, the trivia night at Stirling center or the Friday reminder of this week's food truck .

In addition to smart technology at home , The entire Stirling ranch community has an intelligent infrastructure , Shows how to use technology to improve security 、 Assurance and overall efficiency , So as to become a real smart city .

Stirling farm is located in arid areas , He has a keen eye on water resources protection . The house has rainwater collection 、 Layered indoor and outdoor water balance 、 Irrigation controller and low water landscape front yard , This leads to a little more than half of the water demand of a typical house .

By connecting the Siemens dual water meter system in the home , Residents can go to STEWARD Monitor their water consumption on the platform , The system is responsible for outdoor and indoor water use respectively . The smart infrastructure of Stirling ranch includes community wide rainwater collection 、 Rainwater drainage system and roof . Water is stored in underground tanks or reservoirs , And recycled for lawn 、 Open spaces in gardens and communities .

Smart street lights installed in the whole community may be just standard street lights for tourists , But they have a dual purpose in the whole community . There are colorful beacons on the top of the intelligent street lamp , Open in case of emergency . Each color has a different meaning , Like a fire 、 Tornadoes or lost children . Besides , As part of the dark sky initiative aimed at reducing light pollution , Streetlights at Stirling ranch are fully turned on at dusk , evening 10 Automatically reduce the number of points 50%.

Senior Project Manager of Siemens intelligent infrastructure Brent Olsen Express :“ With Z-Wave Long Range The emergence of Technology , We are glad to see that , How we can use this new technology throughout the community , Better connectivity for our various infrastructure projects .”

This is just the beginning of Stirling farm , Because the community plans to 20 It continued to develop in the year 2000 . Siemens is committed to continue to develop and develop its smart home products at every new stage of development . With Siemens' vision for the future of infrastructure , Stirling ranch has been for 5G The next stage of network and other technologies is ready .Z-Wave As the interoperability technology standard of smart home , The possibilities for growth are endless .

Future plans

With the first Z-Wave long-range (LR) Certified equipment on the market , new Z-Wave LR Specifications support distances up to several miles , The maximum output power is 30dBm, Support up to... On a single network at the same time 4000 Nodes . It means Z-Wave Grid node support has been added 20 times , At the same time Z-Wave Grids coexist on the same network .Z-Wave LR Is backward compatible , And all Z-Wave Certified devices remain interoperable .Z-Wave LR Connectivity extends new IOT applications beyond the home , No repeaters are required , Ensure easy installation and low cost .Z-Wave LR It can also reduce the continuous maintenance cost of coin battery , Life up to 10 year . Alliance members Silicon Labs Realized Z-Wave LR The first chip of , utilize +14dBm The output power achieves 1 miles (1.6 km ) Direct line of sight transmission range .Z-Wave LR The foreseeable transmission range can reach several miles , Greatly expand the possibility of system scalability , Beyond the limits of a single residential property , Expand to larger 、 More complex installations and markets , Including hotels 、MDU、 Intelligent City 、 Commercial installation 、 Large residential areas, etc .

Conclusion

Since its establishment ,Z-Wave Has stood as a leader in the field of wireless protocols , And a robust certification program , The industry with the strictest safety standards , And an alliance by a variety of manufacturers , Chip supplier 、 Developer 、 Professional integrators 、 Distributors and other members , All this has driven growth in the global residential smart home category and other vertical markets .《2022 year Z-Wave Ecosystem status report 》 It depicts Z-Wave How the agreement addresses serious challenges , as well as Z-Wave The maturity of 、 How reliability and interoperability translate into consumers , And continue to drive the market .Z-Wave The alliance dominates Z-Wave Standard innovation , This data shows the development momentum in the future .

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